Umm.. yah acctually the pipe-line is 31 stages #18. which would make it slower, even with a 1 mb L2, and a 2MB L3 and a 6 MB L4 and a 25MB L5 100MB L6 and a 150GB L7 weene!!
#15 I doubt that Intel would release a new cpu that is weaker than the old one. The initial sckt 478 Prescott release doesnt have much of a speed increase which you would expect if there were a pipeline lenght increase. So my bet is that prescott will be substantially more powerful than Northwood and may even show up AMD's stupid PR rating scheme yet again.
Well, I felt I needed to clarify my point since you were so quick to write it off as a fanboy response. I do believe you are a bit hard on the platform problem of AMD vs. Intel, Intel's platforms are not rock solid like they were in the BX days anymore, and arguably the AMD platform offers a better guarantee(the largest issue with any chipset is the memory controller, and that is no longer a factor on an A64 platform).
However, it is personal preference overall, neither product is a clear cut, blow the competition out of the water performance leader. But, in general given any amount of money you can build a superior AMD system, even if only by a few % points in various benchmarks. Also, the future looks brighter for the A64 platform as 64bit will be arriving this year, and that will show serious performance increases in several areas(including the weak points of media encoding and compression where it will get a massive boost from 64bit).
If someone buys a P4 today are they making a horrible mistake? No, they are not. Are they making the best informed decision however? It depends. I tend to say they are not, especially looking down the road, however I would not say they are a moron or something either. To some people the name on a product means more than the product itself, for those people we have companies like Intel, Sony, Volkswagon, etc.
The point is, Reflex, that I made some comments specifically on the article in question, and then a couple people bounced on my post with the typical "OMG AMD is so much better" stuff. (Yours wasn't as bad as MAME's. "Totally dominates and OC...." In realistic systems, it's a moot point, as either CPU is fast enough. And the 3000+ does not OC very well at all.)
The initial post of mine is perfectly reasonable, and it wasn't made as an Intel fanboy, so it should be responded to in kind. Is AMD a better choice right now? That's NOT the question at hand! The question is, how does the Intel roadmap look?
The "new" Celerons may OC very well and may atually be able to compete against the Duron/XP. *MAY*. As I said initially, we need to wait for the product to be released to find out. You reiterated that point.
One final point is that while there is a lot going on in the chipset and CPU world right now, my take is that P4 and A64 is still a close race. The A64 is generally a little faster, but reliability, upgradability, etc. is up in the air. At least we all know that the P4 socket-478 line is going to end at 3.4 GHz. So you've got a case of trading the beast that you know and understand in for a new and unknown beast. Should you do that? There is no correct answer to that question; it's personal preference.
Any word on how long the prescott pipeline will actually be? I've heard 22, 30, and 32 stages (listed in order of feasibility). And just how much will this reduce the prescott performace say in comparison to a NW at same clockspeed?
TrogdorJW: Its not fanboyism at this point to point out that at the moment, AMD pretty much has Intel beaten on every front. The Opteron is a much better server CPU than the Xeon, the AthlonFX is ahead of the P4EE, the A64 is ahead of the P4, and the AthlonXP and even the Duron line trounces the Celerons(and even the P4 in many cases). And thats before factoring in the fact that these chips generally cost considerably less than their Intel competitors.
The largest argument against an AMD64 system right now is the uncertainty around the platform. And that *is* a valid point. Thats why I stated that once socket 939 showed up the A64 would be pretty much the clear cut leader. Now, if Prescott arrives and blows the doors off of what AMD's top offerings are then I will revise my opinion, but at the current time I see no reason to do so. The competing platforms both have only a small amount of headroom(both the Intel and AMD platforms will change by the end of the year for their top end CPU's), and in general the AMD offerings are better performers than the Intel equivilents, and the price is lower on an AMD system, it becomes *very* difficult to justify purchasing Intel AT THIS TIME.
Now, in a couple months when Prescott arrives(actually arrives, not paper launches) and we see whether or not AMD can scale quickly and when 939 is on the table and all thier CPU's standardize on it, then we will be able to re-evaluate the situation. But for now we can only see the cards that are actually on the table, so anything else is speculation.
As for 64bit, as far as I am concerned its a bonus. The A64 is already the fastest 32bit CPU on the market, 64bit OS and apps will only make it better. If they arrive this year, great, but if not you still were not cheated seeing as you got the best bang for the buck possible with the apps on the market currently.
Yes, the Athlon 64 is fast. That does not mean it automatically has to be used in every system. Get a grip, #5 and #6. All I said is that it will be interesting to see what happens with the next Celerons. If they cost $70 and OC to 3.5 GHz or more, they could be very interesting. We won't know for sure until they're released.
Technically speaking, you can get an 865PE motherboard and a 2.8C Pentium 4 for about $93 and $212, respectively. It's a mature platform, and the 2.8C STILL overclocks better than the Athlon 64. Or you can get a K8T800 motherboard and an Athlon 3000+ for $128 and $227, respectively. (That's using an MSI motherboard in both systems, with retail CPUs from Newegg.) Needless to say, socket 754 is not as mature as 478. So almost $50 more, and 64-bit software isn't going to become important for at least another 6 months, possibly longer. (Unless you run Linux? Didn't think so....)
As for the statement, "Not only that, [Athlon 64 3000+] totally dominates the p4 in everything except the encoding department, in which case it's pretty much even," that's not entirely true. It dominates in games ***provided you have a 9800 Pro or XT and run without AA/AF***. Otherwise, it's relatively close. With a 9700 Pro or less, neither system is going to be much faster than the other.
#9, if you read the article it says that there WILL be a 533 MHz FSB Prescott and several other sites like Xbit have been saying for weeks that there will be a 2.8 GHz Prescott with 533 MHz FSB but with no HT support. In any case, the authors have fixed the table and it now shows a Prescott 2.8 GHz with 533 MHz FSB.
I'm sitting pretty with my Athlon64 3200+. While there will likely be faster CPUs from both AMD and Intel this year, I don't really see a reason to upgrade from that chip for quite a while.
#9, if you read the article it says that there WILL be a 533 MHz FSB Prescott and several other sites like Xbit have been saying for weeks that there will be a 2.8 GHz Prescott with 533 MHz FSB but with no HT support. In any case, the authors have fixed the table and it now shows a Prescott 2.8 GHz with 533 MHz FSB.
I'm sitting pretty with my Athlon64 3200+. While there will likely be faster CPUs from both AMD and Intel this year, I don't really see a reason to upgrade from that chip for quite a while.
To bad i've already decided on getting a Athlon 64 939 pin setup this summer. Sorry Intel, better luck next time.
#7 I believe that they were talking in regards to the "C" model of the P4 which use the 800mhz FSB, not 533mhz which the've stop producing last I heard.
#5: Yeah, I agree. $200 for a 2.8 says #1. Well $200 will get you an A64 3000+ that you can oc and upgrade (for a little while). Not only that, it totally dominates the p4 in everything except the encoding department, in which case it's pretty much even.
#1: Or, for less money, you can pick up an Athlon64. Once socket 939 comes out, thats the direction that seems most obvious to me. Should have a long upgrade path, and at least its a CPU designed for the future(64bit). Kinda sick of investing in 1985 technology on steroids...
Price/performance of the new Celerons will be interesting to see. I think the 256K of cache is still going to hurt it, but it might actually be able to pass up the Duron chips now. (I doubt it will be able to match the Athlon XP chips, though.) One thing to definitely look forward to is the likely HIGH overclockability of the 90 nm low-end Celerons. I wouldn't be surprised to see people take the 2.53 and 2.8 up to "FSB666" - which would clock them at 3.17 and 3.5 GHz - or maybe even higher. If they only cost around $100, we could be looking at a return to the "glory days" of the Celery! :)
As for the Socket 478 ending at 3.4 GHz, I'm not too surprised. Or disappointed. Getting a good P4 right now is a viable option - you can pick up the 2.8 for under $200. I doubt that the minor speed increase to 3.4 GHz will be that noticeable for most applications. Graphics cards are much more important for gaining performance in any games at this point, especially at reasonable resolutions. Sure, you can't upgrade the system that much further, but a 2.8 GHz machine should last at least a couple years from now.
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20 Comments
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The12pAc - Monday, February 2, 2004 - link
Umm.. yah acctually the pipe-line is 31 stages #18. which would make it slower, even with a 1 mb L2, and a 2MB L3 and a 6 MB L4 and a 25MB L5 100MB L6 and a 150GB L7 weene!!pAc
Stlr22 - Thursday, January 29, 2004 - link
Ummmm.........yeahPumpkinierre - Saturday, January 24, 2004 - link
#15 I doubt that Intel would release a new cpu that is weaker than the old one. The initial sckt 478 Prescott release doesnt have much of a speed increase which you would expect if there were a pipeline lenght increase. So my bet is that prescott will be substantially more powerful than Northwood and may even show up AMD's stupid PR rating scheme yet again.Reflex - Friday, January 23, 2004 - link
Well, I felt I needed to clarify my point since you were so quick to write it off as a fanboy response. I do believe you are a bit hard on the platform problem of AMD vs. Intel, Intel's platforms are not rock solid like they were in the BX days anymore, and arguably the AMD platform offers a better guarantee(the largest issue with any chipset is the memory controller, and that is no longer a factor on an A64 platform).However, it is personal preference overall, neither product is a clear cut, blow the competition out of the water performance leader. But, in general given any amount of money you can build a superior AMD system, even if only by a few % points in various benchmarks. Also, the future looks brighter for the A64 platform as 64bit will be arriving this year, and that will show serious performance increases in several areas(including the weak points of media encoding and compression where it will get a massive boost from 64bit).
If someone buys a P4 today are they making a horrible mistake? No, they are not. Are they making the best informed decision however? It depends. I tend to say they are not, especially looking down the road, however I would not say they are a moron or something either. To some people the name on a product means more than the product itself, for those people we have companies like Intel, Sony, Volkswagon, etc.
TrogdorJW - Thursday, January 22, 2004 - link
The point is, Reflex, that I made some comments specifically on the article in question, and then a couple people bounced on my post with the typical "OMG AMD is so much better" stuff. (Yours wasn't as bad as MAME's. "Totally dominates and OC...." In realistic systems, it's a moot point, as either CPU is fast enough. And the 3000+ does not OC very well at all.)The initial post of mine is perfectly reasonable, and it wasn't made as an Intel fanboy, so it should be responded to in kind. Is AMD a better choice right now? That's NOT the question at hand! The question is, how does the Intel roadmap look?
The "new" Celerons may OC very well and may atually be able to compete against the Duron/XP. *MAY*. As I said initially, we need to wait for the product to be released to find out. You reiterated that point.
One final point is that while there is a lot going on in the chipset and CPU world right now, my take is that P4 and A64 is still a close race. The A64 is generally a little faster, but reliability, upgradability, etc. is up in the air. At least we all know that the P4 socket-478 line is going to end at 3.4 GHz. So you've got a case of trading the beast that you know and understand in for a new and unknown beast. Should you do that? There is no correct answer to that question; it's personal preference.
Corsairpro - Thursday, January 22, 2004 - link
Any word on how long the prescott pipeline will actually be? I've heard 22, 30, and 32 stages (listed in order of feasibility). And just how much will this reduce the prescott performace say in comparison to a NW at same clockspeed?Reflex - Thursday, January 22, 2004 - link
TrogdorJW: Its not fanboyism at this point to point out that at the moment, AMD pretty much has Intel beaten on every front. The Opteron is a much better server CPU than the Xeon, the AthlonFX is ahead of the P4EE, the A64 is ahead of the P4, and the AthlonXP and even the Duron line trounces the Celerons(and even the P4 in many cases). And thats before factoring in the fact that these chips generally cost considerably less than their Intel competitors.The largest argument against an AMD64 system right now is the uncertainty around the platform. And that *is* a valid point. Thats why I stated that once socket 939 showed up the A64 would be pretty much the clear cut leader. Now, if Prescott arrives and blows the doors off of what AMD's top offerings are then I will revise my opinion, but at the current time I see no reason to do so. The competing platforms both have only a small amount of headroom(both the Intel and AMD platforms will change by the end of the year for their top end CPU's), and in general the AMD offerings are better performers than the Intel equivilents, and the price is lower on an AMD system, it becomes *very* difficult to justify purchasing Intel AT THIS TIME.
Now, in a couple months when Prescott arrives(actually arrives, not paper launches) and we see whether or not AMD can scale quickly and when 939 is on the table and all thier CPU's standardize on it, then we will be able to re-evaluate the situation. But for now we can only see the cards that are actually on the table, so anything else is speculation.
As for 64bit, as far as I am concerned its a bonus. The A64 is already the fastest 32bit CPU on the market, 64bit OS and apps will only make it better. If they arrive this year, great, but if not you still were not cheated seeing as you got the best bang for the buck possible with the apps on the market currently.
TrogdorJW - Thursday, January 22, 2004 - link
Yes, the Athlon 64 is fast. That does not mean it automatically has to be used in every system. Get a grip, #5 and #6. All I said is that it will be interesting to see what happens with the next Celerons. If they cost $70 and OC to 3.5 GHz or more, they could be very interesting. We won't know for sure until they're released.Technically speaking, you can get an 865PE motherboard and a 2.8C Pentium 4 for about $93 and $212, respectively. It's a mature platform, and the 2.8C STILL overclocks better than the Athlon 64. Or you can get a K8T800 motherboard and an Athlon 3000+ for $128 and $227, respectively. (That's using an MSI motherboard in both systems, with retail CPUs from Newegg.) Needless to say, socket 754 is not as mature as 478. So almost $50 more, and 64-bit software isn't going to become important for at least another 6 months, possibly longer. (Unless you run Linux? Didn't think so....)
As for the statement, "Not only that, [Athlon 64 3000+] totally dominates the p4 in everything except the encoding department, in which case it's pretty much even," that's not entirely true. It dominates in games ***provided you have a 9800 Pro or XT and run without AA/AF***. Otherwise, it's relatively close. With a 9700 Pro or less, neither system is going to be much faster than the other.
Icewind - Wednesday, January 21, 2004 - link
Yes, but thats PRESCOTT, NOT the current P4c model.Two different things, so its good they corrected it.
Oxonium - Wednesday, January 21, 2004 - link
#9, if you read the article it says that there WILL be a 533 MHz FSB Prescott and several other sites like Xbit have been saying for weeks that there will be a 2.8 GHz Prescott with 533 MHz FSB but with no HT support. In any case, the authors have fixed the table and it now shows a Prescott 2.8 GHz with 533 MHz FSB.I'm sitting pretty with my Athlon64 3200+. While there will likely be faster CPUs from both AMD and Intel this year, I don't really see a reason to upgrade from that chip for quite a while.
Oxonium - Wednesday, January 21, 2004 - link
#9, if you read the article it says that there WILL be a 533 MHz FSB Prescott and several other sites like Xbit have been saying for weeks that there will be a 2.8 GHz Prescott with 533 MHz FSB but with no HT support. In any case, the authors have fixed the table and it now shows a Prescott 2.8 GHz with 533 MHz FSB.I'm sitting pretty with my Athlon64 3200+. While there will likely be faster CPUs from both AMD and Intel this year, I don't really see a reason to upgrade from that chip for quite a while.
Icewind - Wednesday, January 21, 2004 - link
To bad i've already decided on getting a Athlon 64 939 pin setup this summer. Sorry Intel, better luck next time.#7
I believe that they were talking in regards to the "C" model of the P4 which use the 800mhz FSB, not 533mhz which the've stop producing last I heard.
barbary - Wednesday, January 21, 2004 - link
Could we have a updated roadmap for Xeons.I know were never happy are we.
:-)
Oxonium - Wednesday, January 21, 2004 - link
Shouldn't one of the Pentium 4 2.8GHz processors in the first table be listed with a 533 MHz FSB? Right now all are listed with an 800 MHz FSB.MAME - Wednesday, January 21, 2004 - link
#5: Yeah, I agree. $200 for a 2.8 says #1. Well $200 will get you an A64 3000+ that you can oc and upgrade (for a little while). Not only that, it totally dominates the p4 in everything except the encoding department, in which case it's pretty much even.Reflex - Wednesday, January 21, 2004 - link
#1: Or, for less money, you can pick up an Athlon64. Once socket 939 comes out, thats the direction that seems most obvious to me. Should have a long upgrade path, and at least its a CPU designed for the future(64bit). Kinda sick of investing in 1985 technology on steroids...KristopherKubicki - Wednesday, January 21, 2004 - link
NDA?Adul - Wednesday, January 21, 2004 - link
when kris ;)KristopherKubicki - Wednesday, January 21, 2004 - link
Got an Azalia audio follow up on the way....TrogdorJW - Wednesday, January 21, 2004 - link
Price/performance of the new Celerons will be interesting to see. I think the 256K of cache is still going to hurt it, but it might actually be able to pass up the Duron chips now. (I doubt it will be able to match the Athlon XP chips, though.) One thing to definitely look forward to is the likely HIGH overclockability of the 90 nm low-end Celerons. I wouldn't be surprised to see people take the 2.53 and 2.8 up to "FSB666" - which would clock them at 3.17 and 3.5 GHz - or maybe even higher. If they only cost around $100, we could be looking at a return to the "glory days" of the Celery! :)As for the Socket 478 ending at 3.4 GHz, I'm not too surprised. Or disappointed. Getting a good P4 right now is a viable option - you can pick up the 2.8 for under $200. I doubt that the minor speed increase to 3.4 GHz will be that noticeable for most applications. Graphics cards are much more important for gaining performance in any games at this point, especially at reasonable resolutions. Sure, you can't upgrade the system that much further, but a 2.8 GHz machine should last at least a couple years from now.